Nyheim Hines is right on the cusp of Tiers 2 and 3 and would be a 49% top-24 option if projected without Taylor.
#ROLLING SKY 5 FULL#
It’ll be hard to bench him if he has the green light in any capacity, yet it’s also hard to envision a full workload for him. If he plays and is limited, he’s a Tier 2 option. The Colts’ Jonathan Taylor has a partial projection, given his uncertain status for Thursday night. TEN (23%) Rex Burkhead at JAC (23%) Mike Boone vs. DAL (24%) Caleb Huntley at TB (23%) Antonio Gibson vs. HOU (31%) Tony Pollard at LA (31%) Mark Ingram vs. LV (37%) Nyheim Hines at DEN (37%) Raheem Mostert at NYJ (36%) Chase Edmonds at NYJ (35%) Brian Robinson vs. Tyler Allgeier at TB (37%) Kareem Hunt vs. In his lone game against a team outside the top 10, Lawrence wasn’t sacked and went 25 of 30 for 235 yards and two touchdowns while posting a Passing NEP per drop-back of 0.60, the third-best mark of the season among any quarterbacks.
Houston is 30th in pressure rate generated, a welcome shift for Lawrence, who has faced three top-10 defenses by pressure rate this season.
#ROLLING SKY 5 PLUS#
The Jaguars’ Trevor Lawrence has been very efficient (0.18 Passing NEP per drop-back) and draws a plus matchup against the Houston Texans, a team ranked 23rd in adjusted passing efficiency allowed. The Kansas City Chiefs are 14th in adjusted pass defense, so it’s not a terrible matchup, and the models like him this week well enough to consider rolling with in a potential shootout game. That’s led to just 17.0 fantasy points per game. The NFL average is 0.06, and Carr is at -0.01 Passing NEP per drop-back over expectation (that is, adjusted for opponents faced). He has a per-drop-back rate of 0.07 Passing Net Expected Points (NEP). Las Vegas’ Derek Carr has been average this season from a passing efficiency standpoint. If New Orleans ‘Jameis Winston plays, he is still rating as a Tier 3 option. Bridgewater wasn’t afraid to throw deep while trailing last week (his 8.9-yard average depth of throw dominated the NFL average of 7.6), so Bridgewater is a high-upside option for needy streamers. The New York Jets rank 28th in opponent-adjusted pass defense, according to numberFire’s metrics, and they are 24th in adjusted fantasy points per drop-back allowed to quarterbacks, as well. Miami’s Teddy Bridgewater is a viable streaming candidate if you need one at quarterback. Players not listed should be presumed sit-worthy in a shallow or standard-sized league, and all fantasy points references and rankings reflect half-PPR scoring. The groupings reflect a 12-team, single-quarterback league with the following hypothetical in mind: if I had other viable options on my bench or the waiver wire, should I start this player this week? QB12, RB24, WR24, and TE12 performances), and higher on the list means more able to start. These players are listed in order of frequency of hitting the stated threshold (i.e. The results will boil down to three tiers: players we should be confident about starting, players we can consider starting whenever we don’t have better alternatives but who aren’t must-plays, and players we should try to bench whenever we do have better alternatives (i.e. Saints' Hill not 'caught up' in type, or frequency, of usage
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